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  1. Hot_Ambition_6457 on

    This is the worst possible outcome tbh. Talarico has a toss-up chance of winning over TX with his southern christian gimmick. I dont see a statewide win for Crockett in TX though. Too many trump sycophants and racist/sexist voters to win the uphill battle.

  2. Normally I would expect ultra-cons to vote in the Dem primary to tip the scale in favor of their preferred candidate, but with Cornyn running against Paxton… they’re going to have to vote for their own.

  3. xocutiepiexoxo on

    So Crockett just walked into the Senate primary and immediately took an 8-point lead over Talarico in the first poll since she announced 51% to 43% with 6% undecided. She’s crushing it with Black voters and older voters, while Talarico does better with younger Dems and some white/Latino segments. Early days yet, but politcally this is like dropping into a game at halftime and already being up.

  4. LiveChocolate8819 on

    Why are people treating Crockett like a Texan Zohran Mamdani campaign?

    Her voting record and stated positions are not progressive. Her entire political identity is built around being a shitposter.

    That’s essentially the complete opposite of Zohran’s campaign. Centrist Democrats are unironically doing the Republican thing of just assuming the nonwhite candidate is a radical progressive.

  5. TheseBrokenWingsTake on

    I’m not from TX, but I wish these two weren’t running against each other–we need them both in Congress.

  6. I don’t know who they are polling, it cannot be actual voters who voted in the last election. I am hopeful every election that young voters will turn out but if the last 30 years under Republican rule has proven anything it’s that they don’t. I am voting Talarico because there is no way she could win against a Republican.

  7. I’m non- plussed.

    I will obviously take either, as they are both a massive step up, but Talarico seems like not only the real deal, but appeals to both progressives and evangelical moderates. Quite a feat in Texas.

    My only guess is that Crockett has more name recognition due to her (awesome) takedowns that have gone viral.

  8. People really want an open and diverse primary field up until it makes their favored candidate have a harder path to success lol. I’m sorry, but people are being really hypocritical here in thinking you know better than Texas voters or that you have any idea how they’ll respond to either candidate — just let it play out and let them figure it out

  9. samuel_el_jackson on

    “Talarico, 36, also had a 29-point lead over Crockett, 44, among young people between the ages of 18 and 34, while Crockett led the Austin state representative by 25 points among voters over the age of 55.”

    Interesting— I think once money is spent on TV by both candidates we see the older voters even out, which helps JT.

    51% and 94% name ID out the gate for JC is impressive, but it seems to me that JT has more room to grow.

  10. Jasmine is all style and no substance. Went to her site, no platform. Hasn’t said anything about new or exciting policy that she supports. Hasn’t identified an enemy to rail against other than trump.

    Hell, her entire announcement video was a 30 second “look at me!, trump sure does hate me!” . “I don’t need to appeal to any trump voters “Not a compelling argument in Texas.

    Fact of the matter is that she’s just a particularly loud corporate dem. I’m pretty sure she even still rides for Israel.

    So no, she stands no chance in a general. Not because of her color or gender, but because she offers nothing real for Texans outside of her expertise in trolling Republicans.

    This is going to be an affordability election and the dems are going to have to be on their left economic populism shit fr fr.

  11. Some key points (emphasis mine):

    > According to the Texas Southern poll, Crockett’s lead was built on her overwhelming support from Black voters, with 89% planning to support her and just 8% behind Talarico. At the same time, **almost half of all Black voters — 47% — said they didn’t know enough about Talarico.**

    and

    > Crockett had almost universal name recognition among likely primary voters — 94% — while Talarico’s name identification came in lower, at 79%.

  12. My hot take is that neither will have a particularly good chance to win. Beto was a generational candidate in a wave election and he still lost to the most detestable senator in history. I have seen nothing to indicate either Crockett or Talarico are stronger candidates, nor is there any evidence that Texas is more in play than it was in 2018. I really hope I’m wrong.

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