Private credit funds helped fuel a boom in risky real estate deals—until the market turned.

Source: bloomberg

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  1. *Prashant Gopal and Patrick Clark for Bloomberg News*

    A decade ago, financial firms started offering small-time investors short-term loans to build new homes or renovate old ones, as well as longer-term debt for those who wanted to rent them out. The industry calls it “private lending,” which totaled more than $145 billion in 2025, according to real estate analytics firm Forecasa Inc.

    In these deals, lenders will finance as much as 90% of a project, including the purchase price of the land and renovation costs, at a rate as low as 8% annually. Financial firms are depending on the home’s value after the project is finished. If the projection holds, the borrower ends up with 30% to 35% in equity, giving the lender some cushion against declining prices. Conventional banks and credit unions have dabbled in these loans, and companies have bundled some together into securities. But large investment firms—­including private credit funds such as those run by KKR & Co.—have driven the surge.

    Now some of the risks are becoming apparent in Cape Coral. Private lenders have started the foreclosure process on 7.4% of the 2,000 properties they financed in 2023, according to Forecasa. (Typical mortgages go bad at a rate of less than 2%, industry data show.) And the stress is growing. In 2025 private lenders made initial foreclosure filings on 326 homes, quadruple the figure two years earlier. Nationally, they spiked 82% during that period. “This is a fairly new market, and essentially we are at a turning point in the housing market,” says Tomasz Piskorski, a Columbia Business School professor of real estate who studies credit. “It has never been tested in a downturn.”

    The strain in Florida demonstrates the latest turn in the evolution of homes from merely a place to live, financed with loans from local banks, to financial assets traded by investors worldwide.

    [Read the full story here.](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2026-02-08/private-credit-loans-are-driving-foreclosures-in-the-home-flipping-market?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTc3MDY0MTE5NSwiZXhwIjoxNzcxMjQ1OTk1LCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJUQTVVR0FLR1pBTEMwMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiJEMzU0MUJFQjhBQUY0QkUwQkFBOUQzNkI3QjlCRjI4OCJ9._3CNoaKLBgB340HYtR6NSCITuwzsWNc2qx9EcpFkSuA)

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