‘The biggest El Niño event since the 1870s’: ‘Super’ El Niño is now the most likely scenario by the end of this year — and the humanitarian cost could be huge
‘The biggest El Niño event since the 1870s’: ‘Super’ El Niño is now the most likely scenario by the end of this year — and the humanitarian cost could be huge
As long as trump is safe and get richer off of it, it’s all good I guess.
itsatumbleweed on
At least it’s not co-occurring with a global fertilizer shortage….
30yearCurse on
With the current administration, this will be called lies, or a non-event. With the wreck the administration has done to science, and lack of leadership regarding climate issue primarily by the US leading all the naysayers, should be a real interesting future for next gens.
Samski877 on
A “super El Niño” on top of already record global temperatures honestly sounds like the kind of thing historians might look back on as one of those moments where the climate crisis stopped feeling abstract for a lot more people
The humanitarian impact is what worries me most because it usually means poorer countries get hit first and hardest through droughts, crop failures, flooding and food price shocks despite contributing the least to global emissions
wotton on
I’m excited for HYPER-EL-NINO and HYPER-EL-NINO+
AwkwardBlacksmith275 on
I am super El Niño all other tropical storms will bow down to me.
BeavisEverywhere on
Sweet. Less Atlantic hurricane formation this year. I’ll take it.
Glittering_Nobody402 on
I look forward to my government botching the response. Magats are incompetent.
pineapplesuit7 on
So we’re gonna have a warm winter in the north given the time window from Oct to Feb 2027?
Jsmith0730 on
Hello! My name is Super El-Ninoooooo!
splintersmaster on
I have young kids so it’s not as simple as what I’m going to say but God dang I’m happy I’m in my 40s already and live in an area that would probably be less impacted by the worst of what we are about to experience.
I realize that things can change on a dime and life will be much, much harder in say 10 years. But at least I got to this age before panick started to trickle towards all of us.
joshbiloxi on
This happened less than 10nyears ago and we were fine.
Mysterious_Camel_717 on
Friendly reminder that El Niño years correlate with reduced plankton in the water which in turns affects fisheries. So that’s going to get effed up too. Fun.
chaveto on
The Evil Within 1 & 2
Positive_Survey_2916 on
Bring it on. Dumbass weather won’t stop me
SquareJealous9388 on
Boy who cried wolf.
Not afraid anymore.
Exciting_Farmer6395 on
Welcome news in Canada
Gamestop-Rocketship on
El teenager
poco on
According to the awful bar chart in that article, the probability of a moderate or weak El nino is higher than the probability that it will be a super El nino.
Hwy39 on
Grande El Niño
beepboopbot420 on
That will not be good
Turd_Fergusons_ on
The harsh reality now is that there 9 billion talking moneys on this rock. About 9x what it was in the 1870s. Even without an El Nino that’s too many to sustain. Every natural disaster or super storm is amplified of n damages and loss of life because we have fanned out locusts. It’s going to get ugly, especially in the developing world.
shade-block on
I remember last el niño it caused wind currents in the upper atmosphere in the western caribbean it stopped hurricanes from hitting FL
I hope that’s a positive from this
Ornery-Sheepherder74 on
Sorry if I’m just dumb, but could someone explain what this means in terms of actual weather effects. Like for instance in the northeast US. Is it super hot summers? Super cold winters? Or is it mostly going to affect tropical places more?
ManMythLegacy on
Just preparing us for excuses to increase grocery costs.
idreamofkitty on
“When the El Niño fully transfers its stored ocean heat into the atmosphere in 2027, the numbers become catastrophic. Climate researcher Zeke Hausfather utilizes statistical models projecting a central estimate of 1.57°C for 2027. James Hansen’s models forecast an even more severe spike, projecting global temperatures will peak near an astonishing 1.7°C.”
So you’re telling me if could be warmer in the winter, it could be rainy, it could get hot later in summer OR we really don’t know because, well, it’s Mother Nature and she gonna do what she gonna do.
CelticJewelscapes on
The US government msntra is that climate change is a false religion. If we ignore it, it will go away.
LupusDeiEl on
With all the shit going on I don’t blame mother nature for want to take humanity out.
46 Comments
As long as trump is safe and get richer off of it, it’s all good I guess.
At least it’s not co-occurring with a global fertilizer shortage….
With the current administration, this will be called lies, or a non-event. With the wreck the administration has done to science, and lack of leadership regarding climate issue primarily by the US leading all the naysayers, should be a real interesting future for next gens.
A “super El Niño” on top of already record global temperatures honestly sounds like the kind of thing historians might look back on as one of those moments where the climate crisis stopped feeling abstract for a lot more people
The humanitarian impact is what worries me most because it usually means poorer countries get hit first and hardest through droughts, crop failures, flooding and food price shocks despite contributing the least to global emissions
I’m excited for HYPER-EL-NINO and HYPER-EL-NINO+
I am super El Niño all other tropical storms will bow down to me.
Sweet. Less Atlantic hurricane formation this year. I’ll take it.
I look forward to my government botching the response. Magats are incompetent.
So we’re gonna have a warm winter in the north given the time window from Oct to Feb 2027?
Hello! My name is Super El-Ninoooooo!
I have young kids so it’s not as simple as what I’m going to say but God dang I’m happy I’m in my 40s already and live in an area that would probably be less impacted by the worst of what we are about to experience.
I realize that things can change on a dime and life will be much, much harder in say 10 years. But at least I got to this age before panick started to trickle towards all of us.
This happened less than 10nyears ago and we were fine.
Friendly reminder that El Niño years correlate with reduced plankton in the water which in turns affects fisheries. So that’s going to get effed up too. Fun.
The Evil Within 1 & 2
Bring it on. Dumbass weather won’t stop me
Boy who cried wolf.
Not afraid anymore.
Welcome news in Canada
El teenager
According to the awful bar chart in that article, the probability of a moderate or weak El nino is higher than the probability that it will be a super El nino.
Grande El Niño
That will not be good
The harsh reality now is that there 9 billion talking moneys on this rock. About 9x what it was in the 1870s. Even without an El Nino that’s too many to sustain. Every natural disaster or super storm is amplified of n damages and loss of life because we have fanned out locusts. It’s going to get ugly, especially in the developing world.
I remember last el niño it caused wind currents in the upper atmosphere in the western caribbean it stopped hurricanes from hitting FL
I hope that’s a positive from this
Sorry if I’m just dumb, but could someone explain what this means in terms of actual weather effects. Like for instance in the northeast US. Is it super hot summers? Super cold winters? Or is it mostly going to affect tropical places more?
Just preparing us for excuses to increase grocery costs.
“When the El Niño fully transfers its stored ocean heat into the atmosphere in 2027, the numbers become catastrophic. Climate researcher Zeke Hausfather utilizes statistical models projecting a central estimate of 1.57°C for 2027. James Hansen’s models forecast an even more severe spike, projecting global temperatures will peak near an astonishing 1.7°C.”
https://www.collapse2050.com/2026-super-el-nino-threatens-global-crops/
Remember when various shithole red states eroded any protection related to heat? A lot of people will be dying this year.
El Niño is Trump’s fault? Reddit might be the stupidest fucking site on the internet.
Is data from NOAA still reliable?
Multiple wars ongoing
Oil prices through the roof
Cost of living crisis on an all time high
Data centers siphoning off all the clean drinking water
Possible fertilizer shortage/ food crisis incoming
AI taking jobs and causing mass layoffs
Another possible pandemic in the making
And now a SUPER SAIYAN EL NINO?!
Stop teasing me! Don’t tempt me with a good time! 👉👈😏
I’m just so glad we have a strong administration who can address this using compassion and science. /s
I need a TL;DR for someone that lives in South Florida.
All I know is that warm water = really really bad for us during hurricane season
El Ñoño
Article can’t provide any examples of what it means
Driest winter on record coming, confirmed.
(I know what El Nino means, this is snarky commentary on the accuracy of weather predictions more than a few weeks out)
Super El Niño this year, then Super El Niño World next year, then Super El Niño 64 in 2028.
Suspected end of the year huh. Some how I doubt we’ll wait that long with feedback loops out of control and predictability a pickle thrown on a window
I miss Chris Farley.
“Since 1870s”…
Meaning NOT caused by man.
Dust bowl smush bowl i ain’t movin to Minnesota.
Trudeau!
I live in an area with severe drought that may benefit from the rain. It’s weird to be excited for that knowing the effects elsewhere.
[NOAA page with the bar chart](https://cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/roni/strengths/)
So you’re telling me if could be warmer in the winter, it could be rainy, it could get hot later in summer OR we really don’t know because, well, it’s Mother Nature and she gonna do what she gonna do.
The US government msntra is that climate change is a false religion. If we ignore it, it will go away.
With all the shit going on I don’t blame mother nature for want to take humanity out.