I don’t think Belarus is at all ready for what open conflict with Ukraine will bring them in very short order indeed. Ukraine has done years of work to reduce Russian air defences; do Belarus have more than the smallest fraction of even what Russia has left? I doubt it.
There is no need to assume that the Belarusians are too stupid to understand this reality. They will continue to dance the line between soothing Putin and actually declaring war for as long as they possibly can.
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I don’t think Belarus is at all ready for what open conflict with Ukraine will bring them in very short order indeed. Ukraine has done years of work to reduce Russian air defences; do Belarus have more than the smallest fraction of even what Russia has left? I doubt it.
There is no need to assume that the Belarusians are too stupid to understand this reality. They will continue to dance the line between soothing Putin and actually declaring war for as long as they possibly can.